Polymarket odds: only 5% chance US regulates AI by year-end
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-01
Polymarket gives just a 5% chance the U.S. regulates AI by end of year. Related markets price a federal AI Safety Bill at 47% by June 2027 and 16% by end of 2026. Market rules define qualifying legislation as including release bans/mandated review, training or compute caps, usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements. Separately, OpenAI president Greg Brockman canceled a planned $25 million second donation to an AI super PAC, telling employees the group had become a 'distraction' for the company.
Related event: Polymarket Puts Odds of US AI Safety Law This Year at Just 5%(2 posts)→
More from Safety
- AgentTell Benchmark: Browser Agents Leak Secrets via Behavior in 61% of Sessions — kagnlp · 2026-10-01
- Google launches Gemini 4 Argon, a cybersecurity model that tops prompt injection benchmarks — ralucaadapopa · 2026-10-01
- 'Read-only' wasn't read-only: agent DB privilege incident spawns open-source agent-db-scan — Then_Respect_1964 · 2026-10-01
- Do uncensored open-weight models actually matter? Reddit sparks debate — EmilPi · 2026-10-01
- From SELECT to SYSADMIN: Critical SQL Copilot privilege escalation flaw patched by Microsoft — wunderwuzzi23 · 2026-10-01
- Senate rejects bill to stop AI data centers passing energy costs to households — Polymarket · 2026-10-01