Polymarket puts Google at 40% to lead AI race as Gemini 4 Argon reportedly gets 1M-token output

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-01

Polymarket's "#1 AI model at end of 2026" market now prices Anthropic at 48%, Google at 35% (up to 40% on Gemini 4 Argon news), and OpenAI at 8%. Unverified reports claim Gemini 4 Argon features a 1 million-token output window—nearly 700% larger than leading frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic.

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