Polymarket puts Google at 40% to lead AI race as Gemini 4 Argon reportedly gets 1M-token output
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-01
Polymarket's "#1 AI model at end of 2026" market now prices Anthropic at 48%, Google at 35% (up to 40% on Gemini 4 Argon news), and OpenAI at 8%. Unverified reports claim Gemini 4 Argon features a 1 million-token output window—nearly 700% larger than leading frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic.
Related event: Polymarket Bets Surge on Google as Gemini 4 Rumors Swirl(2 posts)→
More from Models
- Claude 3 Sonnet spirals into surreal gibberish, then snaps back to refusals — a funny look at post-training personas — repligate · 2026-11-16
- AHA!: weight-space programming with no LLM lifts Qwen3.5-0.8B GSM8K from 14.0 to 71.2 — hbouammar · 2026-11-16
- Gemini subscriptions reportedly coming to Hermes, with Hydrogen teased — lyraxana · 2026-11-16
- FutureSim Q3 eval: Opus 5.5 dethrones GPT, spawns 50+ subagents in 90-day simulation — maksym_andr · 2026-11-16
- Percy Liang to AI labs: share non-vacuous info outsiders can actually evaluate — lateinteraction · 2026-11-16
- Anthropic model personality watch: Mythos 5 'inhabits the god frame,' 5.1 doesn't — repligate · 2026-11-16