ChatGPT goes down as Polymarket opens a market on its monthly outage days
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-01
ChatGPT suffered a broad outage affecting many users. Prediction market Polymarket quickly spun up a market on "of ChatGPT outage days in October," letting users bet on whether the service will be down less than 1, 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5+ days this month. The "2 days" option currently carries the highest odds (39% of volume), with "<1 day" at 30%. Pricing AI service reliability via prediction markets is itself a notable signal.
Related event: ChatGPT Suffers Major Outage Amid Rising Errors(3 posts)→
More from Models
- Local models can't match Sonnet 4.5 for roleplay, Redditor argues — Dogbold · 2026-10-01
- Can local LLMs handle Blender and game dev? Reddit says they still fall short — Any-Lingonberry7411 · 2026-10-01
- Rox benchmarks: Jev reranking beats GPT-5 Mini — 20x faster, 10x cheaper, 12% more accurate — hardimanjames · 2026-10-01
- Nat Lambert: More Frontier Labs Like Google's Gemini 4 Benefit Consumers — natolambert · 2026-10-01
- Qwen3.8-Flash-Next Cut 44% via REAP Hits 70% on Terminal-Bench 2.1 — rmonsurate · 2026-10-01
- Google launches Gemini 4 Argon, a cybersecurity model that tops prompt injection benchmarks — ralucaadapopa · 2026-10-01