Polymarket Traders Put Only 42% Odds on Grok 5 Shipping by End of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-30
Polymarket has a market on whether xAI releases Grok 5: currently 42% odds of release by December 31, 2026, but just 1% by September 30, 2026.
Rules specify that a release must be accessible to the general public (open beta, rolling waitlist, or paid members count; closed betas don't), and decimalized Grok 4 variants like 4.6 or 4.7 do not qualify—only a model explicitly named Grok 5 or greater, or identified by xAI as a new generation successor.
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