"If You Told 2020 That AI in 2026 Solved a Millennium Problem, You'd Call It the Singularity"
aran_nayebi · x · 2026-09-29
Reshared by researcher Aran Nayebi, the post argues: if you time-traveled back to 2020 and said that in 2026 AI would have just solved a Millennium Prize problem, pass the Turing Test, and hacked state actors, people then would (correctly) conclude the singularity is actually happening.
The point: measured against 2020 expectations, the progress of the past few years already qualifies as singularity-level, and people inside the moment systematically underweight it.
More from AGI Musings
- Stanford's Code in Place lets students use AI freely — but they must explain their code live each week — chrispiech · 2026-09-29
- Devs debate: product managers may now hold the most valuable skill in the AI coding era — pramodk73 · 2026-09-29
- Gold rush to rebuild everything with AI will collapse for the same reason it exists — nptacek · 2026-09-29
- Quintin Pope: cheap finetuning lets AIs defect, making durable AI coordination—and takeover—unlikely — QuintinPope5 · 2026-09-29
- When EA Ambition Means Buying Galaxies and Digital Descendants — abhiadesai · 2026-09-29
- Miles Brundage: not taking intelligence explosion seriously was my biggest recent mistake — Miles_Brundage · 2026-09-29