Polymarket odds: only 11% chance US enacts an AI safety bill by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-28
Polymarket's prediction market puts the odds of the US enacting an AI safety bill by December 31, 2026 at just 11%, rising to 47% by June 2027. Market rules define qualifying bills as those imposing release prohibitions/review mandates, training restrictions, usage limits, or human-in-the-loop requirements—voluntary model submission alone doesn't count.
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