Polymarket gives Meta just 11% odds of having a top AI model by year-end
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-28
Following Meta's launch of a new enterprise AI business unit led by former MongoDB CEO CJ Desai (dubbed the company's "next major pillar"), Polymarket odds on "which companies will have a #1 AI model by Dec 31":
- Meta sits at just 11% (11¢ yes, $17,689 volume)
- Google 27%, OpenAI 20%, xAI 13%, with Z.ai also on the board
- Total market volume: $165,691; resolves Dec 31, 2026
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