AGI tracker Alan Thompson's conservative countdown suggests we're 'pretty close' to AGI
coherence · x · 2026-09-28
A repost of Alan Thompson's (LifeArchitect.ai) 'conservative AGI countdown' page:
- Thompson defines AGI as matching median human performance across virtually all fields, adding a stricter requirement of physical embodiment.
- The page claims to inform AI policy at Microsoft, Harvard, MIT, the UN, and G7, last updated Sep/2026.
- A key debate: is embodiment necessary for AGI? One argument says GPT-4 and Gemini are already 'proto-ASI' that only need more agency and automation — putting them in a robot body wouldn't make them smarter.
- The poster's point: even the famously conservative Thompson now thinks we're 'pretty close' to AGI.
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