Orbital compute model: space data centers reach cost parity with Earth by 2029, cheaper by 2035
JOBhakdi · x · 2026-09-28
A $SPCX-holding author lays out a cost model for orbital compute: terrestrial data centers keep getting more expensive as power access, grid interconnect queues, land and permitting compound — each new gigawatt is harder to site. Launch costs keep falling, so space hits cost parity around 2029 and is cheaper by 2035. The bigger edge is speed: no zoning boards or multi-year permitting fights, just launch cadence. Numbers are modeled projections, from a position holder.
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