You can't stumble into ASI: frontier RSI ranking ≈ rich teams that actually believe in it

menhguin · x · 2026-09-26

A researcher argues that the ranking of frontier capabilities and meaningful progress toward RSI (recursive self-improvement) is basically just "rich players who believe in RSI". Their view: you cannot accidentally stumble into ASI — like stumbling into being a bodybuilder, it involves so many design decisions and details/workflows that must be gotten precisely right that it's much less likely to happen without intentional design.

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