Why Anthropic's Biology Bets May Win: Moore's Law and the Hardware Lottery
IgorCarron · x · 2026-09-25
Responding to a critic claiming Anthropic's short-termist approach has no chance, Igor Carron argues with two frameworks:
- Moore's Law: betting on tech that doesn't ride it is dangerous.
- Sara Hooker's hardware lottery: dominant hardware spawns architecture-specific algorithms, creating a positive feedback loop (NVIDIA vs AMD).
On biology, he argues Anthropic's currently unpolished methods may end up beating expert-favored approaches thanks to this feedback loop.
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