Polymarket gives SSI 53% odds of releasing its first public model by October 31

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-25

Polymarket's prediction market gives a 53% chance that Ilya Sutskever's secretive lab Safe Superintelligence releases its first publicly accessible model by October 31, 2026 (13% by September 30), with $116K+ in total volume. Strict resolution criteria require general public access — closed betas don't count.

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