Polymarket puts Grok 5 release odds at just 36% by year-end
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-25
Polymarket's "Grok 5 released by...?" market shows only 6% odds by Oct 31, 15% by Nov 30, and 36-38% by Dec 31. Rules count only public releases (open beta/waitlist), not closed betas — a skeptical counterpoint to Musk's claim of a GPT-6-level model within 2-3 months.
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