Polymarket puts Grok 5 release odds at just 36% by year-end
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-25
Polymarket's "Grok 5 released by...?" market shows only 6% odds by Oct 31, 15% by Nov 30, and 36-38% by Dec 31. Rules count only public releases (open beta/waitlist), not closed betas — a skeptical counterpoint to Musk's claim of a GPT-6-level model within 2-3 months.
More from Companies & People
- Blogger credits Meta's low-price hardware for reigniting competition in the category — dreamwieber · 2026-09-25
- Polymarket gives SSI 53% odds of releasing its first public model by October 31 — Polymarket · 2026-09-25
- Meta's smart glasses heavily inspired by Apple, but price and form factor are the real differentiator — dreamwieber · 2026-09-25
- New show Airlock asks non-tech people what they think of Dario Amodei — jdjohnson · 2026-09-25
- KPMG launches CT&I group to build AI-native businesses at startup speed — entrup · 2026-09-25
- Researcher Tommie Kerssies joins amilabs as MTS in Paris — sainingxie · 2026-09-25