teortaxesTex: METR's 1.5x speedup isn't much — research is decomposable, no RSI yet
teortaxesTex · x · 2026-09-24
Pushing back on Kokotajlo's concern over METR's 1.5x research speedup finding, teortaxesTex argues METR's model is more reasonable: 1.5x isn't that much, because research is decomposable and can first benefit from speeding up and scaling simpler components. By itself, 1.5x doesn't imply an imminent transition to full recursive self-improvement.
Related event: Debate Erupts Over METR's 1.5x AI Research Speedup Claim(2 posts)→
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