Gary Marcus: Musk quietly pushed his AGI prediction from 2025 to 2028, same pattern as FSD
GaryMarcus · x · 2026-09-24
Gary Marcus points out that Elon Musk's new prediction for 2028 is essentially the same one he made in 2024 about 2025 — a silent three-year timeline slip, mirroring Musk's years of restated promises around driverless cars.
More from AGI Musings
- OpenRSI founders on why RSI is the missing piece of ASI, open to everyone — ChengleiSi · 2026-09-24
- Two Critical Steps Toward RSI: Better Research Answers vs. Improving the Research System Itself — ChengleiSi · 2026-09-24
- MIT-IBM and Amazon labs launch OpenRSI-Index, an open benchmark for recursive self-improvement — ChengleiSi · 2026-09-24
- $8B Annualized Is Nothing: Argument That Outside Views Misread China's AI Investment Scale — teortaxesTex · 2026-09-24
- RL environment training data comes from near-minimum-wage contractors, not lab staff — TheZvi · 2026-09-24
- "Worry about the dumbest thing a model can not do," says MillionInt — MillionInt · 2026-09-24