Polymarket puts 33% odds on frontier AI labs agreeing to a joint pacing deal by 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-24
Following Dario Amodei's statement that Anthropic will "slow down as much as necessary," Polymarket launched a market asking whether at least two frontier AI labs (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, Meta) will announce a joint pacing agreement by December 31, 2026 — currently priced at 33%. Qualifying agreements include safety-conditioned releases, compute caps, limits on recursive self-improvement, or pausing training/release.
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