Epoch AI debate: fixed costs complicate the '100,000x compute price drop' narrative

davidmanheim · x · 2026-09-24

In a debate with Toby Ord and Epoch AI, David Manheim notes real-world AI compute costs haven't fallen in step with GPU prices and capability gains due to fixed costs—though as compute spend becomes truly expensive, fixed costs approach zero and the trend will show clearly. Ord counters that summarizing a '100,000x price drop' without abstraction remains elusive.

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