Carnegie study: 40.6% of NeurIPS elite AI talent now works in China, overtaking US at 34.2%

rohanpaul_ai · x · 2026-09-24

A Carnegie China study finds elite AI talent increasingly staying in China, making it the top destination. Among the 2025 NeurIPS cohort observed in 2026, 40.6% worked in China vs 34.2% in the US — a reversal of 27.1% and 46.4% in 2022. Carnegie attributes the shift likely to stronger domestic job availability and tighter US visa restrictions, framing these as probable rather than measured causes.

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