Toby Ord disputes viral AI cost chart: price drops flatten, nowhere near headline 100,000x
tobyordoxford · x · 2026-09-23
- Researcher Toby Ord pushes back on a viral chart showing AI capability costs falling 100,000x, noting a key subtlety: price reductions at each capability level are not exponential — they flatten out considerably.
- As a result, no capability tier has actually gotten anywhere near 100,000x cheaper than the chart's headline figure suggests.
- He acknowledges costs have fallen rapidly and the trend is real, but argues the chart's framing exaggerates the magnitude.
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