Toby Ord questions chart claiming AI prices fell 100,000x since 2021
tobyordoxford · x · 2026-09-23
Philosopher Toby Ord raised doubts about a chart claiming AI prices declined more than 100,000x from 2021 to 2026. He argues nothing has plausibly gotten 100,000x cheaper, suggesting it is some kind of aggregate or proxy statistic rather than a direct price measure. He also notes that if declines start at a higher percentage per quarter and shrink over time, the slope should flatten — which conflicts with the chart's use of relative years since a technology's introduction instead of real dates on the x-axis.
Related event: Scholars Challenge Viral Chart Claiming 100,000x Drop in AI Prices(10 posts)→
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