Polymarket Odds: 91% Chance Claude 6 Ships by End of 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-23
Polymarket has opened a prediction market on when Anthropic's Claude 6 will launch. Current odds: 91% (92¢) that Claude 6 is released by December 31, 2027, 59% by June 30, 2027, and only 37% by March 31, 2027. Total volume is around $27K. Resolution rules require a model whose name or identifier includes "Claude" with version 6 or higher; any general-purpose family (Opus, Sonnet, Haiku or successors) qualifies, while restricted-access releases do not.
More from Models
- Third-party test: Claude Opus 5.5 renders finer 3D scenes but costs 13x more than GPT-6 Sol — testingcatalog · 2026-09-23
- GPT-6 Sol priced at half of Opus 5.5 as Sol and Luna go 'dirt cheap' — ZeroStateReflex · 2026-09-23
- Tester claims Claude Opus 5.5 has the best visual design output of any model tested — burny_tech · 2026-09-23
- Meta's Alexandr Wang reveals muse has been in the works since at least Sept 2025 — adrianscottcom · 2026-09-23
- GPT-6 Sol Codex system prompt leaked: over 294,000 characters dumped on GitHub — gaganghotra_ · 2026-09-23
- Claude 5.5 (live) keeps generating user turns, reports user — BlackHC · 2026-09-23