Polymarket puts AI bubble burst odds at just 10% before end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-23
Polymarket's "AI bubble burst" market ($2.97M volume) prices the odds at 10% for a downturn by Dec 31, 2026, and 21% by June 30, 2027. Resolution requires at least three of: NVDA down 50% from ATH, SOXX down 40%, OpenAI/Anthropic bankruptcy, OpenAI acquisition, H100 rental at $1 for five straight days, or major AI hardware suppliers (TSMC/ASML/Broadcom/Arista/SMCI) halving from ATH. The post also quotes Palantir co-founder Joe Lonsdale saying everyone will be "really wealthy" in the 2030s if the AI boom keeps accelerating productivity.
Related event: Polymarket Bets AI Bubble Unlikely to Burst This Year(3 posts)→
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