Christian Szegedy stands by 10-year-old bet: all mainstream software will be verified by 2030
AlexKontorovich · x · 2026-09-22
Christian Szegedy amplified the prediction he has been making for a decade: mathematics' biggest impact won't be millennium problems but proofs applied to software at scale.
Key points:
- All mainstream software will be formally verified by 2030; you likely won't touch an unverified library.
- Formalizing specs and doing this at 1B-LoC scale are ripe targets for auto-research/self-improvement loops.
- He's confident because if this doesn't happen, either AI gets paused or the world ends.
Related event: Szegedy Predicts All Mainstream Software Will Be Formally Verified by 2030(3 posts)→
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