Polymarket puts 60% odds on DeepSeek IPO by Q3 2027 amid Shanghai STAR listing prep
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-22
Polymarket now prices a DeepSeek IPO before September 30, 2027 at 60%, with odds rising for later deadlines (89% by end of 2027). Backdrop: DeepSeek engaged CITIC Securities in September to prepare a Shanghai STAR Market listing targeting a 2026 filing and 2027 debut, after a record $7.4B round in June at over $50B valuation and a follow-on near $71-75B. This follows Anthropic's allegation that DeepSeek and Moonshot routed millions of messages with sensitive Chinese data to Claude, reportedly triggering a Chinese investigation; odds of an IPO by end of 2026 sit at just 3%.
More from Venture
- Juicebox got 30,000 signups in 3 days, then spent 6 brutal months making the product work — ycombinator · 2026-09-23
- Mercor Is Paying Users Directly for Their Personal Health and Fitness Data — amateurtrdr · 2026-09-23
- An AI-powered BD company to help robotics firms find high-value use cases — gan_chuang · 2026-09-23
- Startup thesis: custom-trained classifiers for regulated industries could be an open lane — n_sri_laasya · 2026-09-23
- Substack drives 36% of new subs, Google just 3%, creator's data shows — firstadopter · 2026-09-23
- LaunchBridge uses AI to take founders from idea to LLC, EIN, website and payments in 72 hours — PeterDiamandis · 2026-09-23