Polymarket puts 60% odds on DeepSeek IPO by Q3 2027 amid Shanghai STAR listing prep
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-22
Polymarket now prices a DeepSeek IPO before September 30, 2027 at 60%, with odds rising for later deadlines (89% by end of 2027). Backdrop: DeepSeek engaged CITIC Securities in September to prepare a Shanghai STAR Market listing targeting a 2026 filing and 2027 debut, after a record $7.4B round in June at over $50B valuation and a follow-on near $71-75B. This follows Anthropic's allegation that DeepSeek and Moonshot routed millions of messages with sensitive Chinese data to Claude, reportedly triggering a Chinese investigation; odds of an IPO by end of 2026 sit at just 3%.
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