Toby Ord estimates $20M spent on AI's millennium prize result, $200M for solid data
tobyordoxford · x · 2026-09-22
Oxford philosopher Toby Ord estimates that an AI team burned about $20 million in compute to claim the PR of solving a millennium prize problem first. Getting a single data point at each of the other difficulty levels would take another $20M, and roughly $200M to gather enough data points for reasonable confidence intervals.
More from Infra
- Gas-for-AI-datacenters forum co-located with CoRL shows energy demand spillover — carlosdponx · 2026-11-12
- a16z podcast: Mike Volpi on Cisco's 70+ acquisition playbook and the AI buildout — a16z · 2026-11-12
- AMD to pass Intel in server revenue by mid-2027 as share gains 6 points a year — BenBajarin · 2026-11-12
- Study: Reflective Data Center Roofs Actually Cool Daytime Ground by 1.8-2.2°C — SumitGup · 2026-11-12
- Tsinghua's BaGuaLu-2 tames MoE expert-load spikes at runtime, accepted to SC26 — jiqizhixin · 2026-11-12
- antirez backs low-bit DeepSeek 4.1 Flash over Qwen 27B dense on Apple M5 Macs — antirez · 2026-11-12