Polymarket gives 10% odds on a US-China AI pacing agreement by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-22
Polymarket opened a market on whether the US and China announce an AI pacing agreement by end of 2026, currently at 10% odds with $32K in volume. Triggering conditions include joint commitments on safety requirements, compute caps, limiting recursive self-improvement, or pausing model releases. Context: the UN chief just called for a ban on AI 'killer robots.'
Related event: Polymarket odds of a US-China AI slowdown deal hover near 10%(2 posts)→
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