US labor productivity runs 2.2% above trend, echoing the 1995-2004 internet boom
danielrock · x · 2026-09-22
An analysis of US labor productivity from 2013–2026, amplified by Erik Brynjolfsson, shows unremarkable growth through most of the 2010s, a sharp break higher starting 2020, and output now running 2.2% above the old trend. The last comparable episode was 1995–2004, when the internet added close to 3% per year for a decade — suggesting we may be a few years into an AI-driven sequel.
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