Polymarket odds put AI bubble burst by end of 2026 at just 11%

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-22

Polymarket's market on whether the AI bubble bursts by December 31, 2026 has $2.97M in volume, with Yes trading at just 11¢.

Resolution requires at least three of these within 90 days: NVDA down 50% from ATH, SOXX down 40%, OpenAI/Anthropic bankruptcy or OpenAI acquisition, H100 rental price below $1.00 for five straight days, or TSMC/ASML/Broadcom/Arista/Super Micro down 50% from ATH.

Related event: Polymarket bets AI bubble has only ~10% chance of bursting by 2026(3 posts)→

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