X debate: raw intelligence vs the real-world capacity to cause harm
ctjlewis · x · 2026-09-22
A debate on long-term AI risk: ctjlewis argues that imagining AI with physical bodies 50-100 years out is reasonable — likely common by 2040 — so it's imagination rather than alarm. mhdfaran pushes back with a chart analogy: even after airplane-sprayed insecticide, bees still kill hundreds of people yearly, so progress doesn't erase point-in-time risks; harm requires real-world causal capacity, and there's a break between raw intelligence and leveraging it in meatspace. kyleferriter counters that the discussion is about intelligence itself — the innate capacity to learn and pursue goals — not point-in-time abilities.
Related event: Debate Rages Over the Gap Between Raw Intelligence and Real-World Harm(2 posts)→
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