Gavin Baker Clashes with Gary Marcus: Model-Layer Monopoly Would Crush Neoclouds

GavinSBaker · x · 2026-09-21

Responding to Gary Marcus's claim that more profitable LLM businesses benefit neoclouds, investor Gavin Baker calls it "super obviously not true": a single lab with 99.999999% margins would be a disaster for neoclouds and suppliers, as monopsonies squeeze providers. He argues fragmentation at the model layer benefits everyone outside it — even a world with zero model-layer profits but high returns for chips, datacenters, and power.

Related event: Baker vs Marcus: Do Fat Model Margins Help or Hurt Neoclouds?(5 posts)→

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