Polymarket gives AI bubble burst just 12% odds with $3M bet on specific triggers
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-21
Polymarket's "AI bubble burst" market has drawn nearly $3M in volume, with only a 12% implied probability of a burst by Dec 31, 2026. Resolution requires at least three triggers within 90 days: NVDA down 50% from ATH, SOXX down 40%, OpenAI/Anthropic bankruptcy, OpenAI acquisition, H100 rental price below $1 for five days, or a major supplier (TSMC, ASML, Broadcom, Arista, SMCI) down 50%. A related note says the FAA will roll out an AI air-traffic-control tool starting Monday.
Related event: Polymarket Bets Against Near-Term AI Bubble Burst(2 posts)→
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