You can't measure OSS model usage — estimate labs' compute or use inference-provider tokens

xeophon · x · 2026-09-20

Responding to OpenRouter being cited as a usage benchmark, xeophon argues open-source model usage can never be accurately measured because OSS is by definition decentralized. His best guesstimate: estimate the compute held by big closed labs and infer how much of the rest runs open models. He notes HF download numbers are rising rapidly, as are token volumes at inference providers like Fireworks, Together and Baseten.

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