Frontier labs' roadmap looks like mundane optimization, not an AGI quest

BLUECOW009 · x · 2026-09-20

Josh Rosen speculates that frontier labs' theoretical roadmap resembles mundane optimization rather than a quest for AGI. The labs' roadmap: reason longer, solve harder problems, build deeper domain expertise, use tools more effectively. By contrast, a 'Jevons-style' roadmap focuses on raising decision accuracy, tightening probability calibration, expanding decision coverage, and reducing inference cost.

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