Jev tested on 8,054 NASA Kepler signals: 54.2% accuracy, loses to a simple 3-rule baseline

This_Cell_1829 · reddit · 2026-09-20

Reddit user ThisCell1829 ran a retrospective classification test of Jev on 8,054 historical Kepler Objects of Interest, giving it 21 measurements per signal to classify each as confirmed planet, false positive, or candidate—saving all predictions before checking NASA Exoplanet Archive labels.

Results: Jev scored 54.2% overall, below a simple 3-rule baseline (64.4%) and only above always-guessing-false-positive (49.0%). It was strong at catching false positives (89.6%), but extremely conservative on confirmed planets: out of 2,731, it used the "confirmed planet" label only 8 times—all 8 correct—missing the other 2,723, mostly calling them candidates. It behaved more like a cautious false-positive filter than a general classifier.

Other numbers: 8,054 calls, zero failures, 338ms median latency, roughly $0.36 total cost. The author also made a short visualization using the real Kepler field.

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