Defense of Jacob Cannell: frontier labs 'expected Astra/Fable to Obviously Happen'
teortaxesTex · x · 2026-09-20
teortaxesTex defends forecaster Jacob Cannell, noting he laid out his assumptions in Magna Alta Doctrina (Dec 2021) and The Brain as a Universal Learning Machine (2015). The author argues Astra/Fable-style capability jumps were widely expected inside frontier labs — Sutskever 'instantly saw superintelligence' — so Cannell simply had the better hypothesis, driven by superior intellectual taste, and the rest is history of science.
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