Polymarket Gives OpenAI 20% Odds of Bankruptcy Before 2030
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-19
After reports that OpenAI expects to burn $280B in cash by 2030, Polymarket launched bankruptcy markets: 8% odds by end-2027, 16% by 2028, 20% by 2029. Market notes cite OpenAI's $73B cash reserves, $852B valuation, $40B+ annualized revenue, ongoing compute-driven losses, a potential $1.2T private round, and an IPO eyed for 2027.
Related event: FT: OpenAI Projects $278B Cash Burn Through 2030(9 posts)→
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