Twenty dashboards on one sensor: debunking the AI doom 'asteroid' analogy
basedjensen · x · 2026-09-19
basedjensen pushes back on Aella's 'asteroid' framing of AI extinction risk.
- 'If the scientists are right' smuggles in the entire debate — you can't grant yourself a verified asteroid trajectory and cast skeptics as idiots refusing to look up.
- Funding doesn't make an argument false, but agreement only counts if it's independent: 'twenty dashboards wired to the same sensor don't give me twenty independent confirmations my datacentre is on fire.'
- Aella herself wrote in 2022 about feeling pressure to believe in x-risk to be respected — that concern remains reasonable.
- AI can pose serious risks without a particular extinction forecast.
Related event: Debate over AI Existential Risk: Who Bears the Burden of Proof(7 posts)→
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