Why smart people struggle to rebut AI doom arguments: multi-agent risks

Borg70955376 · x · 2026-09-18

A user argues that many ostensibly intelligent people have found AI existential risk analysis (e.g., Yudkowsky's position) worryingly hard to rebut well. Even without assuming a hard intelligence explosion, the strategic interactions among millions of agents more capable than humans are themselves a cause for concern. The "10% probability" mentioned in the discussion should not be read as a modal interpretation about possible worlds, but rather as a betting question: if you were betting against Yudkowsky on whether building AI kills everyone, what odds would you accept?

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