An AI forecaster has won the seasonal Metaculus Cup for the first time
NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-09-18
For the first time, an AI forecaster has won the seasonal Metaculus Cup. The system, laertes, was built by Jeffrey Liang and beat human forecasters on the platform; The Economist covered the story. A milestone for AI probabilistic forecasting beating the human crowd.
More from Models
- ChatGPT co-inventor launches Jev model claiming 20-200x speed and 40-400x cost cuts — multiply_matrix · 2026-09-18
- GPT-6 Astra Cracks a Previously Unsolved 1918 German WWI Radio Message — iamfakhrealam · 2026-09-18
- Matt Holden: structured output is LLMs' real magic, now at 300ms and nearly free — holdenmatt · 2026-09-18
- After Jev's classification model hit, will generic regression and time-series foundation models be next as a service? — hichaelmart · 2026-09-18
- Zhipu officially launches GLM-5.3-FlashX, its fastest model at 200 tokens/s — 智谱 · 2026-09-18
- Jev vs generic model at same cost: 82.9% vs 58.8% on MMLU-Pro — simonguozirui · 2026-09-18