sethlazar: citing p(doom) numbers to sway public opinion is an outdated 2023 debate
sethlazar · x · 2026-09-18
Responding to critiques of subjective probabilities in AI risk debates, sethlazar argues the picture of doomers influencing public opinion by citing p(doom) is outdated — accurate for 2023's "N% of computer scientists" arguments, but the debate has since matured and people demand evidence. He contends public decision-making should be grounded in evidence itself rather than in meta-questions about which beliefs to use.
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