Anthropic's economic scenario explorer models AI's impact on US jobs and wages through 2030
eigenron · x · 2026-09-18
Anthropic's Economics team released an interactive scenario explorer and technical report (Korinek et al., 2026) modeling how AI could reshape US jobs, growth, and unemployment. In scenarios up to 2x normal growth, unemployment stays in the historical range and wages hold or rise; in faster-than-history growth scenarios, knowledge workers' wages and job prospects suffer, making broad sharing of gains the key challenge. Users can plug in their own capability predictions to see the 2030 economy they imply.
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