"There's a 5% chance AI kills us all — but almost all 5% chances don't happen"

NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-09-18

NathanpmYoung shares his take on AI risk: roughly a 5% chance we all die from AI, followed by the punchline that almost all 5% chances don't happen. A shareable example of folk-probability reasoning in AI safety debates.

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