Polymarket puts just 8% odds on a Chinese company topping the Chatbot Arena leaderboard
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-17
A Polymarket market on whether a Chinese company will own the #1 model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard by December 31, 2026 trades at just 8% Yes, with $97K volume. Resolution is based on the Text Arena overall leaderboard (style control off), covering Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, MiniMax and more. The same post cites CNBC: OpenAI and Anthropic generate roughly 10x the revenue of all Chinese AI models combined.
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