Polymarket Puts AI Bubble Burst Odds at Just 13% by End of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-17
Polymarket's "AI bubble burst by Dec 31, 2026" market has drawn $2.96M in volume, with Yes trading at just 13-15%.
Resolution requires at least three of the following within 90 days: NVDA down 50% from ATH, SOXX down 40%, OpenAI or Anthropic bankruptcy, OpenAI acquired, H100 rental price at $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days (SiliconData index), or TSMC/ASML/Broadcom/Arista/SMCI any down 50%. Context: AI startup Instinct is reportedly seeking a $10B valuation weeks after being valued at $2.25B.
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