Polymarket puts 36% odds on frontier AI labs agreeing to pace AI by 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-17
Polymarket launched a market on whether at least two of OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI and Meta announce a joint AI pacing agreement by end of 2026 — currently trading at 36%. Qualifying commitments include tying training/release to safety requirements, capping training compute, or limiting recursive self-improvement. Context: Google DeepMind recently launched a new institute studying AGI implications and safe deployment.
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