Polymarket bets put 35% odds on AI solving the Hodge Conjecture by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-17
Robin Hanson highlighted a new Polymarket market on "Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?" ($14K volume). Odds: Hodge Conjecture 35¢, Birch–Swinnerton-Dyer 26¢, Hadwiger–Nelson 20¢, Collatz and Twin Primes 12¢, Riemann Hypothesis 10¢, and P vs NP just 5¢ — signaling non-trivial market belief that AI could crack several famous open problems within a year.
Related event: OpenAI Reportedly Near Solving Hodge Conjecture as Polymarket Odds Hit 57%(4 posts)→
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