o3's time horizon hits ~110 minutes yet no system clears 31% on DeepScholar-Bench

le_james94 · x · 2026-09-16

Noting that DeepSeekMath-V2 makes verification the product, this post highlights how measurement is splitting in two: METR puts o3's 50% time horizon near 110 minutes of human work, doubling roughly every 7 months, while on DeepScholar-Bench no tested system clears a 31% geometric mean at writing related-work sections. Both numbers are real.

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