Polymarket puts AI bubble burst odds at just 13% with $2.4M wagered
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-15
Polymarket's 'AI bubble burst' market, with roughly $2.37M in volume for a Dec 31, 2026 deadline, currently prices a downturn at only 13-14%. Resolution requires at least three of these conditions within 90 days: NVDA down 50% from all-time high, SOXX down 40%, OpenAI or Anthropic bankruptcy, OpenAI acquisition, H100 rental price at $1.00 or lower for five straight days (SiliconData index), or TSMC/ASML/Broadcom/Arista/Super Micro down 50%. Media narratives alone won't trigger a Yes.
Related event: Polymarket Bets Against AI Bubble Bursting Before End of 2026(8 posts)→
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