Polymarket gives 47% odds frontier AI labs announce a joint pacing agreement in 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-15
Polymarket launched a market on whether at least two of OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, and Meta announce a joint pacing agreement by end of 2026 — currently at 47%. Qualifying commitments include safety-conditioned releases, training compute caps, or limits on recursive self-improvement; mere expressions of support don't count.
Related event: Polymarket Opens Market on Frontier AI Labs Striking a Pacing Agreement(5 posts)→
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