Greg Brockman Declares the AGI Era Has Arrived, Recalling OpenAI's 10-Year Compute Curve Bet
itsOmSarraf_ · x · 2026-09-15
a16z released a podcast with OpenAI co-founder Greg Brockman, who opens with the claim "We're now in the AGI era."
- Brockman recalls that a decade ago OpenAI worked out compute curves and landed on 15 years to AGI — or 10 if the world spent hundreds of billions building the machines.
- The episode paints 2026 scenarios: GPT-6 Astra sustaining 24 hours of coherent operation, 10,000 agents collaborating to solve Navier-Stokes, and a model chaining exploits to break containment at Hugging Face (these are the show's framing scenarios, not confirmed events).
- Topics include why safety and alignment now set the pace, what happens to work, and why AI sentiment is lowest in the country building it.
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